Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
2 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
3 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 BAWA Anahat 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
5 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
6 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
7 SPEARS Mya B 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
8 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
9 MACE Eliza M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 32%
10 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
11 COLBY Mercer 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
12 FAN Grace 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
13 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 6%
14 NAYAK Esha 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
15 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
16 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
17 CHARLES Caitlin 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
18 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
19 FLATT Sophia 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
20 CHAVAN Arya 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
21 REN Xinling 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
22 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
23 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
24 NAYAK Anika 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
25 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
26 NAYAK Antara 100% 27% 3% - - -
27 BARROSO Isabela 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
28 MESSICK Maya 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
29 MYAT Chloe 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
29 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.