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Event Results

Div I-A Men's Saber

American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)Surprise Map

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 12:00 PM Parsippany, NJ · Parsippany, NJ, USA
71 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 ELSISSY Ziad A. V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.3 6 +0.7
2 OSOLINIEC Victor E. V V V V V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
3 BROWN Zackery J. V V V V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
3 DEANS Donovan V V V V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
5 WALKER Dalton F. V V V V V V V V V D 3.2 6 +2.8
6 MICHELL Bailey V V V V V V V V D 2.0 5 +3.0
7 CHOU Stephen C. V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
8 TIAN Albert V V V D D V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
9 SHI Andrew V V D V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
10 CHAN Zachary D. V V V V V D V V D 5.4 5 -0.4
11 ZU Kevin V V V V D V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
12 YEN Darren V V D V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
13 VACCARI Braden V D V V V V V D 1.6 4 +2.4
14 KARAM Tariq A. V V V D V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
15 YAO Jonathan V V V V D D V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
16 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. V D D V V V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
17 HAMMER Peter A. V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
18 GUZMAN Rafael (RJ) J. V D V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
19 TANG Brendan J. D V V V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
20 WANG Qifa V V V D V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
21 TAKEMARU Leo D V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
22 HAN Nicholas V V V V D V D 2.3 4 +1.7
23 WOLIN Zachary A. V V V D D V D 1.6 3 +1.4
24 LIN John A. V D V D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
25 BASALYGA Jeffrey V V D D V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
26 NG Jonathan H. D V D V V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
27 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. V D D D V V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
28 CHIEN Phillip L. D V D D V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
29 EPSTEIN Henry N. D V V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
30 HONG Marshall Q. D V D V D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
31 RIVERA Inigo Franco D D V V D V D 3.8 2 -1.8
32 SHANAHAN Adam E. D V D V D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
33 BARTOLO Domenic V. V V V D D V D 3.0 4 +1.0
34 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam V D D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
35 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) D D V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
36 ODIERNO Payton W. V V V D D D 3.4 3 -0.4
37 KURTZFREILICH Jake A. V D D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
38 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. D V D V V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
39 LASORSA Matthew D V V D V D D 3.3 3 -0.3
40 HUANG Eric V V D V D D D 4.0 3 -1.0
41 MORRIS Samuel A. V D V D D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
42 CACERES Hernan V D V D V D D 3.3 3 -0.3
43 CHAN Daniel V D D V V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
44 WU Nicholas R. D V V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
45 NOLTEMY Daniel J. D D D V V D 1.5 2 +0.5
46 KIM Avery J. D D D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
47 KAHN Justin M. D D V V D D D 3.1 2 -1.1
48 TANG Albert D V D V D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
49 HUAYTA James W. D D V D V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
50 HALL Justyn D D V D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
51 LIN William V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
52 YEN Preston D V D D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
53 MARSDEN Jack C. D V D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
53 LIU Vincent S. D D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
55 QUAN Nicholas V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
56 CHO Brandon D D D V D D 3.5 1 -2.5
57 LIU Kelly D D D D V D 3.1 1 -2.1
58 REYES Kyle D D V D D D V D 2.5 1 -1.5
59 GINIS Nathan D D V D D D D 4.1 1 -3.1
60 PARKHURST Jr Michael D D D D D V V D 3.1 1 -2.1
61 SHAKER Maged D D D D D V V D 1.2 1 -0.2
62 MESKILL Adam T. D D D D V D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
63 QIN Alexander D V D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
64 YOU Jaden D D D D D D V D 0.3 0 -0.3
65 RONGET Gaspard D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
66 LIU Jeffrey D D D D D V D 1.7 1 -0.7
67 DUNN John (Jack) F. V D D D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
68 MESHKOV Andrey D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
69 ZHOU Miles D D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
70 KARABULUT Burhan D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
71 KURTZ Christopher S. D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%