American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, October 20, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSISSY Ziad A. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
2 OSOLINIEC Victor E. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
3 BROWN Zackery J. - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
3 DEANS Donovan - 2% 15% 39% 35% 9%
5 WALKER Dalton F. 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
6 MICHELL Bailey 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% < 1%
7 CHOU Stephen C. - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
8 TIAN Albert - 1% 12% 40% 39% 8%
9 SHI Andrew - - 2% 11% 34% 43% 11%
10 CHAN Zachary D. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
11 ZU Kevin - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
12 YEN Darren - 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
13 VACCARI Braden 5% 45% 38% 11% 1% -
14 KARAM Tariq A. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
15 YAO Jonathan - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
16 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
17 HAMMER Peter A. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
18 GUZMAN Rafael (RJ) J. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
19 TANG Brendan J. 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
20 WANG Qifa - 2% 14% 38% 38% 8%
21 TAKEMARU Leo - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
22 HAN Nicholas 1% 18% 41% 32% 8% 1%
23 WOLIN Zachary A. 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
24 LIN John A. - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
25 BASALYGA Jeffrey - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
26 NG Jonathan H. 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
27 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 1%
28 CHIEN Phillip L. - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
29 EPSTEIN Henry N. 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
30 HONG Marshall Q. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
31 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
32 SHANAHAN Adam E. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
33 BARTOLO Domenic V. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
34 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
35 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 1% 7% 27% 40% 23% 3%
36 ODIERNO Payton W. - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
37 KURTZFREILICH Jake A. 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2%
38 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 3% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
39 LASORSA Matthew - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
40 HUANG Eric - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
41 MORRIS Samuel A. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
42 CACERES Hernan 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
43 CHAN Daniel 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
44 WU Nicholas R. 15% 42% 34% 8% 1% -
45 NOLTEMY Daniel J. 11% 40% 37% 11% 1% -
46 KIM Avery J. 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
47 KAHN Justin M. - 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% -
48 TANG Albert 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
49 HUAYTA James W. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
50 HALL Justyn 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
51 LIN William 7% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
52 YEN Preston 3% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
53 MARSDEN Jack C. 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 2%
53 LIU Vincent S. 9% 35% 39% 14% 2% -
55 QUAN Nicholas 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
56 CHO Brandon - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
57 LIU Kelly - 4% 20% 41% 30% 5%
58 REYES Kyle 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
59 GINIS Nathan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
60 PARKHURST Jr Michael - 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% -
61 SHAKER Maged 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
62 MESKILL Adam T. 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
63 QIN Alexander 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
64 YOU Jaden 70% 27% 2% - - - -
65 RONGET Gaspard 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
67 DUNN John (Jack) F. 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
68 MESHKOV Andrey 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
69 ZHOU Miles 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
70 KARABULUT Burhan 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
71 KURTZ Christopher S. 24% 54% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.