SoCal Scholastic League Individual Epee/Saber #2

Men's Middle School Epee

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Brentwood High School - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10% < 1%
2 BAXTER Max 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
5 KIM Alexander 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
6 LEE Royce 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
7 LEE Aidan 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
8 JONES Rodney 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
9 WONG Baron 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 1%
10 MAXU Tiger 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
11 RODOCANACHI Hector 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
12 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
13 CHARETTE Alex 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
14 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
15 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 10%
16 YOUNG Luke 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
17 LEE Yulkwon 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
18 BAKER Livingston Xander 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
19 FU Adrian 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
20 KIM Remington 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
21 HOU Nathaniel 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
22 NOVITCH Jonas 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 2%
23 WELLS William 100% 96% 72% 29% 5% -
24 CHEONG Cameron 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
25 HUNTINGTON Charles 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
26 PAEK Marcus 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
27 GADHVI Darius 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
28 KOEHNLEIN Gavin 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
29 BERTEL Florian 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
30 RICHTER Alexander 100% 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
31 SOSA Addison 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
32 JADIA Arnav 100% 98% 80% 34% 7% -
33 MINSKY Tristan 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
34 NANTAMANASIKARN Kai 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
35 SMOLYANYUK Ivan 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
36 DROBNICK Elijah 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
37 FIERRO Sevren 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
38 DAI Ethan 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.