2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU Zhiang 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
2 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
3 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 4%
5 BERMAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
6 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
7 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
8 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
9 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
10 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
11 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
12 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
13 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35% 6%
14 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
15 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
16 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
17 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 21%
18 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 42%
19 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
20 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 16%
21 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 27%
22 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 22%
23 PROBASCO Leila 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
24 KWON Ava 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
25 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
26 RANJAN Diya 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1%
27 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
28 HO Sophia 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
29 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
30 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
31 HILD Anya 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
32 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
33 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
34 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 99% 91% 54% 13%
35 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
36 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
37 KWON Ava 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
38 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% -
39 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37% 6%
40 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
41 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
42 XU Demi 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
43 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% 1%
44 KIM Audrey 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% - -
45 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
46 LIANG Claire 100% 98% 81% 42% 8% -
47 YAO Annabelle 100% 77% 31% 5% - -
48 JUILLERAT Elina 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12% 1%
49 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
50 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
51 ROHATGI Saanvi 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% - -
52 BROWN Aria 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
53 HUANG Eleanor 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
54 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
55 ALAMI Amira 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
56 KONNIKOV Esther E. 100% 78% 33% 6% - -
57 LEE Kaitlin 100% 86% 44% 8% 1% -
58 SHMULER Fiona 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
59 KULIK Sophia 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
60 WONG Charlene 100% 95% 70% 29% 4% - -
61 PARK Haylie 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
62 STADNIK Emilia 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 2% -
63 REDA Sophie 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
64 FIGELMAN Maya 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
65 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
66 KHERA Anya 100% 73% 30% 5% - - -
67 FONG Abigail 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
68 NEGROIU Mara 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
69 LEIGH Adalene 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
70 KESSLER Amelia 100% 75% 28% 3% - -
71 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
72 ENG Madeleine 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
73 CHURCH Madeline 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
73 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.