2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SONG Aidan - 2% 11% 30% 40% 18%
2 DANILOV Artur - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
3 BHANDARE Veer 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
5 CHEN Daniel - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
6 TOPRANI Valmik - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
7 ARMSTRONG Payson - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 13%
8 CHEN Evan - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
9 LUO Alexander 1% 6% 25% 40% 25% 3%
10 CAVALLARO Sebastian 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
11 WHITE Jackson 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
12 BEYER Timothy 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3% -
13 CHIANG William 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 5%
14 NOOL Aaron 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
15 FRIZZELL Kai - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
16 LAI Jayden 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
17 SHAPIRO Samuel - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
18 BRISTOL COLTON JOASH 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
19 ZHANG Jayden 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
19 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
21 CHEN Zehan - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
22 ZINCHUK Yuri 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
23 YAO Irvine 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
24 GROVER Aditya - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
25 AYZENBERG Tucker 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
26 WHITE Leonardo 1% 7% 27% 39% 23% 3%
27 CAMPBELL Alexander 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
28 CHO Adrian - 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% -
29 ROFINO Samuel 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
30 SMITH Theo < 1% 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% -
31 HARDER Jonathan 1% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1%
32 SCOGGIN Charles 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
33 BREWSTER William 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.