2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
2 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
3 BHANDARE Veer 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
5 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
6 TOPRANI Valmik 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
7 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
8 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
9 LUO Alexander 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 3%
10 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
11 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
12 BEYER Timothy 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
13 CHIANG William 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
14 NOOL Aaron 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
15 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
16 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
17 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
18 BRISTOL COLTON JOASH 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
19 ZHANG Jayden 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
19 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1%
21 CHEN Zehan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
22 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
23 YAO Irvine 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
24 GROVER Aditya 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
25 AYZENBERG Tucker 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
26 WHITE Leonardo 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
27 CAMPBELL Alexander 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
28 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 84% 50% 18% 4% -
29 ROFINO Samuel 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
30 SMITH Theo 100% 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
31 HARDER Jonathan 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2%
32 SCOGGIN Charles 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
33 BREWSTER William 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.