2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 2:30 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 39%
2 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
3 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
5 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
6 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
7 KANDADAI Lara 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 3%
8 LAURI Keira 100% 98% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
9 BERMAN Greta 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
10 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
11 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
12 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
13 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
14 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
15 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 33% 8%
16 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
17 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
18 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
19 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
20 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
21 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
22 YU Zhiang 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
23 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
24 LIU Kelly 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
25 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
26 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25%
27 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
28 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
29 DONG Angel 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
30 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 21% 3%
31 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
32 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
33 CHEN Jessica 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
34 WANG yining 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
35 PROBASCO Leila 100% 100% 97% 73% 28% 4% -
36 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
37 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
38 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 18% 2%
39 YAN Lena 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
40 HU Anna 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
41 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
42 KHOST Maeve 100% 99% 85% 42% 11% 1% -
42 SHMULER Fiona 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
44 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
45 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
46 CHOU Amy R. 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 5% -
47 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
48 ONG Lauren 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
49 LI Alexis 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
50 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
51 GUGALA Hanna 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
52 KHERA Anya 100% 53% 7% - - - -
53 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 96% 69% 23% 4% - -
54 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 92% 50% 12% 1% -
54 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
56 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
57 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 97% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
58 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
59 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
60 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
61 NAYAK Antara 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
62 BAWA Anahat 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
63 SVENSSON Siri Lin 100% 65% 18% 2% - - -
64 BAINS Nandini 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
65 LAMEDICA Ava 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
66 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
67 CHO Kaeli M. 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
68 XU Demi 100% 78% 29% 4% - - -
69 RESTREPO URREGO Laura 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
70 ALAMI Amira 100% 68% 19% 2% - - -
71 TU Sadie 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
72 SULLIVAN Siobhan 100% 59% 12% 1% - - -
73 TAYLOR Lindsay 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
74 KONNIKOV Esther E. 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
74 BORGUETA Madison 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
76 YAO Annabelle 100% 65% 16% 2% - - -
77 ROHATGI Saanvi 100% 63% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.