2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 3:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FIELD Elizabeth - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
2 KAPRAN Anastasia - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
3 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
3 WANG Joanna - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
5 WANG Amabel - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
6 HARRIS Julia - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
7 ROBERTS Anastasia 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% -
8 ZELDIN Nadia - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
9 REZA Fukaina - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
10 CAVANAGH Emma 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% 1%
11 LIU Caydence - 1% 9% 32% 44% 14%
12 DIMATULAC Elise Ann - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 6%
13 CAI Ilana 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
14 LI Savannah 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
15 DE CASTRO Kai 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
16 BING Charlotte - 2% 12% 36% 39% 10%
17 ORRINGER Lottie - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
18 JIN Sophie 28% 44% 23% 5% < 1% -
19 KIM Claire 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
20 BRADSHAW Tamira 2% 20% 41% 29% 7% 1%
21 LIN Yunong 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
22 HUANG Sophie 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
23 MCFARLANE Asha 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
24 KRAHE Annika - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
25 FEDER Acadia 6% 27% 41% 21% 4% -
26 WANG Selina 6% 30% 40% 20% 3% -
27 BAULIN Zoya 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
28 ZHANG Zoey 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
29 MACKINTOSH Quinn 5% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
30 LIU Jenna 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
31 CHOI Cara 48% 39% 11% 1% - -
32 WAN Celine 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
33 VOROS Madeleine 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
34 ZHU Ella 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
35 GOMEZ Sofia 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
36 RAFFAELE Nancy 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
37 ZHANG Caroline 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.