2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 3:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
2 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
3 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
3 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
5 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
7 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
8 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
9 REZA Fukaina 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
10 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
11 LIU Caydence 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14%
12 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
13 CAI Ilana 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
14 LI Savannah 100% 98% 86% 51% 15% 1%
15 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
16 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
17 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 25%
18 JIN Sophie 100% 72% 28% 5% < 1% -
19 KIM Claire 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
20 BRADSHAW Tamira 100% 98% 78% 36% 8% 1%
21 LIN Yunong 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
22 HUANG Sophie 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
23 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
24 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
25 FEDER Acadia 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
26 WANG Selina 100% 94% 64% 23% 3% -
27 BAULIN Zoya 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
28 ZHANG Zoey 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
29 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
30 LIU Jenna 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
31 CHOI Cara 100% 52% 13% 1% - -
32 WAN Celine 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
33 VOROS Madeleine 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% -
34 ZHU Ella 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
35 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
36 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
37 ZHANG Caroline 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.