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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
2 LEE Eugene - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 10%
3 CHENG Ethan - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
3 TANG Terry - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
5 LEE Brendan - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
6 ZHAO Adam - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
7 GHEDINI Luca - - - 6% 32% 62%
8 ZENG Rick - - 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
9 AKYAMAC Bora - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
10 CHEN Ethan - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
11 GERRISH William - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
12 UNGERER Roger M. - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
13 HOU Gaven 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
14 CHEN Hanson - - 6% 29% 47% 18%
15 WANG Auther - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6%
16 YANG Dylan 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
17 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
18 SRINIVASAN Vedant - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
19 SHANNON Jack 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
20 CHENG Logan 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
21 MARTIN Darius - - 2% 11% 35% 38% 14%
22 SICAT Justin 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% - -
23 MARTIN Mason - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
24 JIMENEZ Naveen 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
25 WOODCOCK Henry 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
26 POLEBOYINA Amrit 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
27 MOREA Anderson 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
28 SION Andrew 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
29 ZHUANG Chuanxuan - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
30 TOOMRE Kai - 4% 19% 40% 32% 5%
31 ZHAO Ryan 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
32 TAM Kyle 34% 41% 20% 4% 1% - -
33 JURMAN Therin - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
34 HARRA Alexander - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
35 SUNDSTROM Wren 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
36 BAI Austin 3% 25% 44% 24% 4% -
37 SUN Ryan - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
38 HONG Logan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
39 YAVENDITTI William 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
40 PERLMAN Taiyo - 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
41 CROWE Adam D. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
42 WANG Luke 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
42 CHEN kenneth 10% 43% 36% 10% 1% -
44 MENDEZ Ren 32% 46% 18% 3% - -
44 DIAZ Gabriel 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
46 SURESH Rohan - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
47 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 44% 47% 8% - - - -
48 BAKSHI Aman 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
49 KO Caleb 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
50 YANG Cooper - 5% 25% 44% 23% 4%
51 XU Nathan 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
51 GECKELER James 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
53 ZHENG Christopher 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 4%
54 BAI Brian 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
55 ONIK Ari N. 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
56 TANG Royce - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
57 KELSEY Simon 2% 21% 42% 28% 6% 1% -
58 KRZYWON Dylan 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
59 REYES Yannik 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
60 SADYKOV Albert 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
61 MOON Nicolas 56% 36% 7% 1% - -
61 HWANG Jacob 5% 23% 38% 27% 7% -
63 LIANG Haojia 37% 51% 11% 1% - - -
64 COVELL Saunder 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
65 CHANG Ian 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.