2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
2 SEO Irene Y. 100% 100% 100% 91% 47%
3 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 YU Lauren C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
6 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 98% 80% 28%
7 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
8 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
9 ROY Layla 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 13%
10 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3%
11 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
12 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
13 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18% 1%
14 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 12%
15 LI Eleanor 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1%
16 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 87% 42% 10% 1% -
17 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
18 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 99% 80% 26% 3%
19 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
20 NEUMAN Sophie 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
21 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 91% 62% 23% 3%
22 XIANG Emma 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
23 ZHANG Selena 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1%
24 UNGERER Frieda 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
25 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
26 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
27 PARK Caitlyn 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
28 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
29 JIANG Claire 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% -
30 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 2%
31 LEVY Avery 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
32 FIELD Julianna 100% 100% 95% 60% 21% 3% -
33 BERGEL Daphne 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% - -
34 WANG Reese 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
35 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 93% 35% 4% -
36 CHENG Isa 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
37 LIN Victoria T. 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
38 CHEN Sophie 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
39 PARK Jacqueline 100% 88% 44% 12% 2% - -
40 LIU Long 100% 83% 20% 2% - - -
41 CHEN Colyi 100% 15% 1% - -
42 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
43 DALBERG Meadow 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
44 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 27% 1% - - - -
45 CHAKRAPANI Ila 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.