2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 10:30 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
2 BULBA Daria 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
3 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
3 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 4%
5 SCOTT Eve 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
6 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
7 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
8 YU Zhiang 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
9 KHAN Alissa 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
10 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
11 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
12 WANG yining 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
13 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2%
14 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
15 CHEN Jessica 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1%
16 DONG Angel 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
17 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
18 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
19 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 1%
20 BAWA Anahat 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
21 SADOVA Olga 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
22 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
23 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
24 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
25 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 86% 49% 15% 2%
26 MARYASH Samantha 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
27 MALEK Zolie 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
28 REN Xinling 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
29 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
30 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
31 NAYAK Esha 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
32 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
33 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
34 NAYAK Anika 100% 99% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
35 LAMEDICA Ava 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% -
36 MYAT Chloe 100% 99% 71% 29% 6% -
37 NAYAK Antara 100% 37% 6% - - -
38 DAVIS Jordan 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
39 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
40 RESTREPO URREGO Laura 100% 91% 59% 22% 5% - -
41 STAFFORD Lillian 100% 70% 23% 4% - - -
42 LI Alexis 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
43 KHERA Anya 100% 9% - - - -
44 ONG Lauren 100% 63% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.