2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Maxwell - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
3 NORMILE Nicholas - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 11%
3 FENG Shang - - - 3% 19% 50% 27%
5 NAKAS Levent - - - - 5% 30% 64%
6 XIA Dashan - - - 1% 11% 44% 44%
7 DYCKMAN Benjamin 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
8 KIM Henry - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
9 SINGLETON Aman - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
10 SOLARZ Arthur - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% < 1%
11 CHEN Jayden - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
12 LI Jade - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
13 HELMY Richard - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 7%
14 CHEN Daniel - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
15 NOOL Alexander 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
16 AHMED Mohsen 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
17 LUO Alexander - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 13%
18 SONG Aidan - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 2%
19 BHANDARE Veer 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
20 LI Ryan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
21 TESFAYE Elias - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
22 GIORDANO Zach 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
23 WANG-SONG Evan - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
24 FOGEL Jake 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
25 BEYER Timothy 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
26 LIU Jeremy 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
27 CHEN Tianjun 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
28 YU David 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
29 VALLINA Finn 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
30 SHAPIRO Samuel 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
31 WANG Marcus 46% 40% 13% 2% - - -
32 NOOL Aaron 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
33 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 17%
34 CODER Ethan - 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
35 LEE Nicholas 11% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
36 WHITE Jackson 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
37 TANG Maximus 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
38 MCGANN Grant 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
39 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
40 NG Nico 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
41 CHEN Edward 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
42 ZHANG Shuhao 64% 30% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.