2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 12:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
3 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 11%
3 FENG Shang 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 27%
5 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
6 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 44%
7 DYCKMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
8 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
9 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
10 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% < 1%
11 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
12 LI Jade 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
13 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
14 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 3%
15 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
16 AHMED Mohsen 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
17 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
18 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
19 BHANDARE Veer 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3% -
20 LI Ryan 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
21 TESFAYE Elias 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
22 GIORDANO Zach 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
23 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
24 FOGEL Jake 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
25 BEYER Timothy 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
26 LIU Jeremy 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
27 CHEN Tianjun 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
28 YU David 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
29 VALLINA Finn 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
30 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
31 WANG Marcus 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
32 NOOL Aaron 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
33 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
34 CODER Ethan 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 1%
35 LEE Nicholas 100% 89% 49% 14% 2% - -
36 WHITE Jackson 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
37 TANG Maximus 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
38 MCGANN Grant 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
39 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 4% -
40 NG Nico 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
41 CHEN Edward 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
42 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 36% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.