2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 DAMBAL Sasha - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
3 GUGALA Hanna - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 VINOKUR Anita - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
5 FOSS Persephone - - 3% 19% 46% 32%
6 LEOU Korina - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
7 ZHANG Ashley - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
8 BORGUETA Madison - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
9 FUNG Iris - - 4% 23% 46% 26%
10 TENG EMMA - - 3% 17% 46% 34%
11 PARK Haylie - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
12 BROWN Aria 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
13 KWON Ava - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
14 GONG Joy - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
15 LIANG Claire 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
16 CASTELO Soleil - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
17 NIU Jessica 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
18 YERENKOVA Ameliia - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
19 BAIK Sarah 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 1%
20 WANG JiaQi - - 5% 24% 46% 25%
21 LEE Kaitlin 9% 36% 39% 15% 2% -
22 REN Katherine 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
23 CHOI Charlotte - 3% 20% 43% 28% 5%
24 MULLER Inara - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5% -
25 HILD Anya - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
26 NARAYANAN Sinduja 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
27 LAFFY Lily - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
28 IANNUZZI Lucy 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
29 KIM Grace 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
30 YOON Sela 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
31 WONG Charlene 5% 29% 45% 18% 3% -
32 YOUNG Sienna - 5% 24% 43% 24% 4%
33 LEE Hannah 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
34 DESAUTELS Alexandra 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
35 PALEY Alisa 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
36 HURÉ Maïa 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
37 HAGN Luna 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
38 LEIGH Adalene 7% 32% 41% 17% 3% -
39 BORDUCCI Madeleine 12% 42% 34% 10% 1% -
40 ZONG Eliane 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2% -
41 PANDEY Freya - - 2% 14% 41% 42% 1%
42 XU Elaine 6% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
43 SAGER Bianca 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
44 HUANG Pierra 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
45 MERZLYAKOVA Alexandra 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
46 NEGROIU Mara 36% 44% 17% 2% - -
47 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 46% 41% 12% 1% - -
47 GALLAGHER Isabella 48% 41% 11% 1% - -
49 DEMRY Kylee 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
50 PEREIRA Izumi 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
51 MOTOVA Masha 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
52 MERZLYAKOVA Maria < 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.