2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
3 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
5 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
6 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
8 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
9 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
10 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 34%
11 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
12 BROWN Aria 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
13 KWON Ava 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
14 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
15 LIANG Claire 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
16 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
17 NIU Jessica 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
18 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
19 BAIK Sarah 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
20 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
21 LEE Kaitlin 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
22 REN Katherine 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2%
23 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 5%
24 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5% -
25 HILD Anya 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
26 NARAYANAN Sinduja 100% 97% 79% 39% 9% 1%
27 LAFFY Lily 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
28 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
29 KIM Grace 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
30 YOON Sela 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
31 WONG Charlene 100% 95% 66% 21% 3% -
32 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 4%
33 LEE Hannah 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
34 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
35 PALEY Alisa 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
36 HURÉ Maïa 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
37 HAGN Luna 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
38 LEIGH Adalene 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% -
39 BORDUCCI Madeleine 100% 88% 46% 12% 1% -
40 ZONG Eliane 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2% -
41 PANDEY Freya 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 1%
42 XU Elaine 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% - -
43 SAGER Bianca 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
44 HUANG Pierra 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
45 MERZLYAKOVA Alexandra 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
46 NEGROIU Mara 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
47 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
47 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
49 DEMRY Kylee 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
50 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 76% 31% 7% 1% - -
51 MOTOVA Masha 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
52 MERZLYAKOVA Maria 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.