2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 3:00 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 18%
3 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
5 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
6 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
7 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
8 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
9 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
10 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
11 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
12 CHEN Sophie 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
13 BERGEL Daphne 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 5%
14 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 98% 81% 43% 9% 1%
15 CAI Ilana 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
16 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 8%
17 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
18 REZA Fukaina 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
19 LIN Yunong 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
20 HUANG Sophie 100% 97% 79% 37% 7% -
21 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1%
22 LI Savannah 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% -
23 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
24 LIU Caydence 100% 100% 94% 65% 20% 1%
25 LI Xiang (Shining) 100% 90% 57% 19% 2% -
26 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
27 LEE Allison 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
28 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% 1%
29 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 3%
30 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
31 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
32 CARON Josie 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
33 KIM Claire 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
34 JANSSEN Juliane 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
35 SHANG Arianna 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
36 ZHANG Zoey 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
37 HAND Sadie 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
38 BAULIN Zoya 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
39 TSE Isabel 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
40 JIN Amie 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
41 JIN Sophie 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
42 WANG Selina 100% 76% 27% 4% - -
42 MOON Eleni 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.