The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Cascade Clash SYC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KROPP Wesley - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
2 ROBERTS Arthur - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
3 MAZAHERI Fletcher - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
3 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
5 WU MiEr 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
6 YAO Tristan - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
7 LU Ian 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
8 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
9 MYRAH Devin 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
10 WONG Alexander 1% 8% 30% 42% 18% 1%
11 YUE Bryan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
12 MA Nolan - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
13 YOON Jonathan 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
14 RUBIN Nathan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
15 CHEN Christopher 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
16 LEE Joshua 4% 20% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
17 MOU Jaydon - - 4% 20% 44% 33%
18 RAU Shogun - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
19 WANG Mason 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
20 MA kevin 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1%
21 LIU Christopher 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
22 WU Matthew 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
23 LI Bryan 18% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
24 MAZAHERI Theodore 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
25 MAZAHERI John 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
26 ZHANG William 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.