The Botterell

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 11, 2023 at 11:00 AM

NKFA - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
2 WRIGHT Dylan 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 16%
3 DEMANGONE Reed 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
3 HE Matthew 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
5 BROWNFIELD Andy 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
6 DIDAY Griffen 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 2%
7 CRAFT David M. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
8 MANAUGH Calliope 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
9 YORK Joseph 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
10 KIM Emily 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
11 MILLER Zach 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
12 PIERCE Marcia 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
13 TLUCHOWSKI Sam 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
14 SCHNUR Luke 100% 100% 96% 74% 28% 4%
15 LYU Mengyao 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
16 EICHLER Grace 100% 90% 43% 10% 1% -
17 KING Alice 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
18 ABRAHAMSON Emma 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4%
19 CUMMINS Joshua 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
20 FOREMAN Elizabeth 100% 92% 59% 19% 2% -
21 MCINTOSH Riordan 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
22 NICOLL Allison 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
23 GEBHARDT Molly 100% 99% 85% 44% 8% -
24 MCCOY Brennan 100% 48% 9% 1% - -
25 CHARLTON Cecelia 100% 48% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.