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BCAF Winter Ironman "Not For Wimps" Epee Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 12, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Bucks County Academy of Fencing - Lambertville, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 49% 22% 6% 1%
2 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 54% 26% 7% 1%
3 OH Kevin Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
3 CENTENO Dante S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
5 UPSHAW Micah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 43% 17% 4% - -
6 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 38% 14% 2%
7 CHEN Leonardo 100% 99% 90% 65% 34% 12% 3% - - - -
8 SHULKIN Mark 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 11% 2% - - - -
9 ANDERSON Brendan P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 78% 46% 13%
10 COX Matthew T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 83% 61% 33% 11% 2%
11 ROBITZSKI David R. 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 25% 9% 2% - -
12 ANDERSON Riley 100% 99% 94% 80% 56% 30% 12% 4% 1% - -
13 MATTO Edward J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 43% 15% 2%
14 BARREIRO Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 39% 15% 3%
15 DALY Conor 100% 99% 95% 83% 60% 34% 14% 4% 1% - -
16 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 68% 39% 15% 4% - -
17 SUN James H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 47% 20% 5% 1% - -
18 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 62% 36% 14% 4% 1% -
19 POWELL Zachory B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 85% 61% 33% 13% 3% - -
20 ROLANDO Doc 100% 100% 99% 92% 76% 51% 26% 10% 2% - -
21 FLINT James E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 74% 46% 20% 6% 1% -
22 JOHN Venus 100% 100% 97% 85% 63% 35% 15% 4% 1% - -
23 KORMANN Joseph 100% 100% 94% 75% 45% 18% 4% 1% - - -
24 O'REILLY Robert 100% 68% 28% 7% 1% - - - - - -
25 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 16% 4% 1% - -
26 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 51% 23% 6% 1%
27 PFEIL Shawn 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 51% 25% 9% 2% - -
28 LATORA Nicholas A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 72% 44% 19% 6% 1% - -
29 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 2% - - - - -
30 LEE Kevin 100% 46% 11% 1% - - - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.