1st Annual Bruce Capin Memorial Brawl

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 11, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRUCE Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
2 OROZCO Francis 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
3 TANT Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
3 SIMMES Jackson 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
5 LOVE Georgina 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
6 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 10%
7 WU Anthony 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
8 JIANG Nicole 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1%
9 STORER Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
9 HOGGARD Carson 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
11 WU Velyn 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
12 BIWANG Aeron 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
13 LIAO Anthony 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
14 RODRIGUEZ Mateo 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
15 WEDDLE Carson 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
16 PICKENS Grace 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
17 RANDAZZO Nurin 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% < 1% -
18 BRIGHT Colin 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
19 CHOWDHURY Arman 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
19 MACK Jacob 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
21 ISLAM Fahim 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17% 1%
22 ARIANAS Elias 100% 100% 92% 60% 18% 2% -
23 LIVINGSTON Sean 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
24 SUNDOWN Shaune-Anthony 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
25 GONZALEZ Julianna 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23% 1%
26 PACK Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
27 PROVOST Sebastian 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
28 PARISH Levi 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
29 SPICER Gavin 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2%
30 URIBE LEON Sebastian 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 10% 1%
31 SMITH Eli 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
32 TORRES Alana 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
33 MYNATT Marcus 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
34 NAMM Emily 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
35 VASSALLO Angela 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
36 ROBINSON Gabriel 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
36 LAKHEERAM Kyla 100% 99% 86% 44% 9% 1% -
38 SIMPSON Bradley 100% 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
39 ALIZO Diego 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
40 WEIHRICH Amber 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
41 GARCIA Ericka 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
42 HUSSEY Aidan 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
43 DESANTO Juniper 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
44 ATWATER Maxwell 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
45 VILLALOBOS Ava 100% 95% 61% 20% 3% - -
46 KOMARAGIRI Ritvik 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
47 LEE Andrew 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
48 JAVATE Ryan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
49 KINCAID Kindle 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
50 PRIDGEON Cole 100% 91% 48% 12% 1% -
51 LEARY Diego 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 7% 1%
52 HIGGINS Daniel 100% 99% 85% 49% 12% 1% -
53 KARPF Jonah 100% 88% 45% 12% 1% - -
54 VICTOR Maya 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.