CFA Icebreaker Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 18, 2023 at 9:30 AM

Cardinal Fencing Academy - Ashburn, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 31%
3 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% -
3 HUNTER Owen 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
5 FEELY Benjamin 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% < 1%
6 BIERL Asa 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
7 MCFADDEN Maya 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
8 MENAY Ignacio 100% 100% 99% 87% 39% 3%
9 MCCABE Kian 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
10 KABEALO Charles 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
11 POLAGANI Krishiv 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
12 FEELY Samuel 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
13 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.