W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Open 2023

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 25, 2023 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
2 GALEMORE Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 13%
3 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
5 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
6 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
7 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
8 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
9 SIDES Nathaniel S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
10 FADL Omar 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 17%
11 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
12 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29% 3%
13 LEE Ethan 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1% -
14 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
15 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 97% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
16 KUYLER Karl 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
17 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
18 MAGGY Melanie D. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
19 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 8%
20 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
21 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
22 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
23 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 99% 81% 42% 10% 1% -
24 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
25 TREADWAY Ella 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
26 WILLIAMS IV Walter 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 2%
27 LEE Hans 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
28 KASPER Lucia 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
29 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
30 RYAN Sean 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
31 MORRIS Luke 100% 96% 74% 31% 4% - -
32 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -
33 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 66% 20% 2% - - -
34 MALIK Zeerick 100% 40% 6% - - - -
35 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.