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W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Open 2023

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 25, 2023 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WALLACE James - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
2 ROSS Connor 3% 20% 45% 26% 5% -
3 ANDERSON Derek M. - - 6% 30% 45% 19%
3 MORTIMER Gavin - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
5 HENDERSON Matthew - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
6 HERMES Henry - 2% 15% 39% 34% 9%
7 ANDERSON Dean - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
8 MONTESI Eric - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
9 CHEMEZOV Trent - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
10 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke - 1% 11% 37% 43% 9%
11 WALLACE George - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
12 WHITE Myles - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
13 SMALLWOOD Jaylon - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
14 KIM Joshua - 4% 23% 45% 24% 3%
15 TANG Justin - 3% 16% 41% 34% 6%
16 NIEMI Otto - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
17 ASBY Will 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
18 JOHNSON Alex - 6% 28% 48% 16% 1%
19 KRONAUGE Andersen 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
20 SMITH Gwyneth 2% 49% 38% 9% 1% -
21 WEIDMAN Jess - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
22 DAVIS Daniel - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
23 MCDOWELL Finn - 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
24 JHA Ritika - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
25 HUFFORD Aoife 7% 34% 39% 16% 3% -
26 BARTLETT Lauren 17% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
27 CHOO Christopher Y. - 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
28 SMITH Christopher - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 1%
29 LEE Benjamin 11% 42% 34% 12% 2% - -
30 LUNDEN Espen 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
31 SOUTHWORTH Connor 6% 55% 32% 6% - -
32 SARGEANT Jackson 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
33 RICHARDSON Katie R. 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
34 NGUYEN Jen - 11% 37% 36% 14% 2%
35 MOORE Mary 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
36 BADLANI Neel 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
37 PARLETT Jennifer 41% 42% 15% 2% - -
38 BAKER Cassie 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
39 JARRETT Leela 78% 20% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.