W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Open 2023

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 25, 2023 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WALLACE James 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
2 ROSS Connor 100% 97% 77% 32% 6% -
3 ANDERSON Derek M. 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 19%
3 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
5 HENDERSON Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
7 ANDERSON Dean 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
8 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
9 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
10 PILIPOWSKYJ Luke 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 9%
11 WALLACE George 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
12 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
13 SMALLWOOD Jaylon 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
14 KIM Joshua 100% 100% 96% 73% 27% 3%
15 TANG Justin 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 6%
16 NIEMI Otto 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
17 ASBY Will 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
18 JOHNSON Alex 100% 100% 94% 66% 18% 1%
19 KRONAUGE Andersen 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
20 SMITH Gwyneth 100% 98% 48% 10% 1% -
21 WEIDMAN Jess 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
22 DAVIS Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
23 MCDOWELL Finn 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
24 JHA Ritika 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
25 HUFFORD Aoife 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% -
26 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
27 CHOO Christopher Y. 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
28 SMITH Christopher 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
29 LEE Benjamin 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% - -
30 LUNDEN Espen 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
31 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 94% 38% 7% - -
32 SARGEANT Jackson 100% 93% 62% 23% 5% - -
33 RICHARDSON Katie R. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
34 NGUYEN Jen 100% 100% 89% 52% 15% 2%
35 MOORE Mary 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
36 BADLANI Neel 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
37 PARLETT Jennifer 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
38 BAKER Cassie 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
39 JARRETT Leela 100% 22% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.