W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Open 2023

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 25, 2023 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
2 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 51%
5 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 41%
6 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% -
7 QI JI 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
8 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 45%
9 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 57%
10 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
11 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 100% 90% 53% 12%
12 LE Tan 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
13 OTT Alexander 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
14 STAM August M. 100% 100% 95% 66% 21% 2%
15 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 99% 89% 38% 6% -
16 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
17 LEE Matthew 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3% -
18 DREHER Matthew 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
19 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
20 MITCHELL Matthew 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
21 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 97% 77% 31% 2%
22 SHIFFLETT Parker 100% 98% 82% 41% 6% -
23 TRAYNOR Jake 100% 93% 64% 21% 1% -
24 ROUADY Ryan 100% 99% 81% 35% 5% -
25 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
26 BUNCHER Michael 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
27 PARCELL Colby 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
28 ZANE Christopher 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
29 PHAM Matthew 100% 86% 41% 8% - -
30 BARR Corinne 100% 52% 10% 1% - -
31 REED Michael 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
32 JACKSON Evan 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
33 LESTYAN Cat 100% 57% 15% 1% - -
34 URIBE David 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
35 KEESEE Devon 100% 82% 32% 5% - -
35 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 72% 18% 2% - -
37 MARINO Edwin 100% 96% 66% 20% 2% - -
38 OHASHI Jax 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
39 WANG Kelley 100% 77% 39% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.