W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Open 2023

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 26, 2023 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 8%
3 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
3 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 39%
5 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 99% 88% 46% 7%
6 ZALEWSKI David 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
7 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14% 1%
8 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
9 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
9 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 8%
11 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
12 HURST Palmer 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
13 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
14 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13% 1%
15 MONTESI Eric 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2% -
16 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
17 ANDERSON Derek M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
18 GUMPRICH Joe P. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
19 ILLES Fanni 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
20 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 99% 82% 41% 8%
21 ROSS Connor 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1% -
22 KUYLER Karl 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
23 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 5%
24 ANDERSON Dean 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
25 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
26 HENDERSON Matthew 100% 100% 98% 70% 27% 4%
27 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 95% 36% 5% - -
28 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 2%
29 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
30 SMITH Christopher 100% 91% 56% 15% 1% -
31 ASBY Will 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% - -
32 GREEAR Colin 100% 54% 14% 1% - - -
33 LE Tan 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
34 TANG Justin 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
35 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 99% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
36 NIEMI Otto 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
37 BADLANI Neel 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
38 WALLACE George 100% 99% 86% 49% 11% 1%
39 SMALLWOOD Jaylon 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 4% -
40 HUNTER Kingsley 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% - -
41 SARGEANT Jackson 100% 90% 51% 12% 1% - -
42 MCDOWELL Finn 100% 91% 53% 13% 1% - -
43 LUNDEN Espen 100% 74% 27% 4% - -
44 SMITH Gwyneth 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
44 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
46 PARLETT Jennifer 100% 30% 4% - - -
47 SIMS Martin L. 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.