William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SEMP Iain | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 2 | MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | OTT James (Jimmy) P. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | HSIEH Rebecca | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 5 | FORMY DUVAL Christopher | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 6 | REEDER Nicholas W. | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 7 | FERGUSON Sam C. | V V D V V | V V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 8 | MOORHOUSE Emmett | V D V V D V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 9 | PRICE Owen | V V V D V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 10 | HARPER Wesley | V V V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 11 | SOPHRONIUS Jeddie | V D D V V V | V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 12 | SHMUKLER Maria | D D V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 13 | KASPER Lucia | V V D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 14 | SMIGRODZKI Nymeria | V D V D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 15 | HAYES Nathan P. | V D V D V D | V D | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| 16 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | V D D D V V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 17 | POOLE Katherine | V V D V D V | D | 0.6 | 4 | +3.4 |
| 18 | ROUNTREE Andrew | D D D V V V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 19 | JHA Ritika | V D V D D V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 20 | TOLENTINO SR. Francis | D V V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 21 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | V D V D D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 22 | ZIMSKY James | D D V V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 23 | HARTMAN Grayson | D D V D D V | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 24 | LAMBERT Luke | V V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 25 | BURNSIDE Caden | D D V D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 26 | DUCK Parker | D V D D D V | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 27 | JOHNSON Alex | D D D V D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 28 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | D D V D D D | D | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| 29 | CRAIG Morgan | D V D D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 30 | EDELMAN Catherine | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 31 | CHERRY Samuel | D D D D D D | V D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 31 | BRUTON Vinton | D D D D D D | V D | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| 33 | BAILEY Linwood | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 34 | MUSS Josephine | D D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.