W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Open 2023

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 26, 2023 at 3:30 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 21%
3 OTT Alexander 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 2%
5 CLARK Keagan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
6 LIN Felix 100% 100% 93% 63% 21%
7 BAKIAN Tristan 100% 100% 82% 43% 12% 1%
8 WALKER Terra 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
9 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
10 PARCELL Colby 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
11 XU Ivan 100% 100% 99% 81% 31% 3%
12 FRUTH Evan 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
13 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 98% 79% 37% 6%
14 DREHER Matthew 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 10%
15 STAM August M. 100% 97% 77% 34% 6% -
16 ADKINS Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
17 TRAYNOR Jake 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
18 URIBE David 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% -
19 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 1%
20 LAUDO Joseph 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
21 SU Ji 100% 97% 71% 30% 5%
22 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 4%
23 MARINO Edwin 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
24 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
25 JACKSON Evan 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
26 SHIFFLETT Parker 100% 100% 88% 51% 13%
27 ZANE Christopher 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
28 ROUADY Ryan 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
29 KEESEE Devon 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
30 KASBERG Matt 100% 80% 27% 4% - -
31 TUSING Isabel 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
32 LESTYAN Cat 100% 97% 46% 8% - -
33 BENNETT Quinlan 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
34 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 35% 5% - - -
35 WANG Kelley 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
36 BARR Corinne 100% 46% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.