March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-10 Women's Saber

Friday, March 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG JiaQi - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
2 LONG Jessie - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
3 ZHANG Ashley - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
3 GONG Joy - - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27%
5 ZHANG Olivia - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
6 HU Heidi - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
7 NEMORIN Rei - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
8 ZHAO Lingran - - - 1% 10% 35% 54%
9 ZHU Avril - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
10 SUNG Olivia 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
11 YAN Angela - 3% 12% 30% 36% 18% 1%
12 LONG Chloe - 2% 12% 30% 37% 19%
13 CHOI Charlotte - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
14 REN Katherine - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
15 XU Elaine 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% 1% -
16 FAN Tina 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
17 LI Tiffany - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
18 CAI Joanna - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
19 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
20 KIM Grace 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
21 NGUYEN Summer - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
22 CHENG Anna 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
23 JIANG Evelyn - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
24 YE Isabella - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
25 CHANG Kylie - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
26 KATZ Emma - 2% 12% 33% 35% 15% 2%
27 WANG Emily 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2%
27 TA-ZHOU Sophia 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
29 WANG Tina - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
30 YU Stella 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
31 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
32 SCHMIDT Yehna - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 3%
33 LAUREYNS Ainsley - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
34 KO Ariel - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
34 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
36 QIU Abigail - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
37 BEATEY Piper 12% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
37 YU Skylar 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
39 ESTEVES ZOE 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
40 DUDNICK Caitlin 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
41 LAI Karen - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
42 KIM Saeren 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
43 MERRITT Annabelle 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
44 WEI Levana 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
45 CONG Catherine 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6%
46 DEMRY Kylee 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
47 BRIMMER Bella 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
48 KANIA Brigitte - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
49 GUO YUKI 9% 32% 38% 17% 4% - -
50 HWANG Sophie 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
51 WANG April 14% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
52 WANG Keira 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
53 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
54 CHACKO Anne 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
55 HAYHOE Tara 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
56 LEE Chaewon 55% 35% 9% 1% - -
56 CLAIANU Adriana 1% 17% 41% 31% 9% 1%
58 BABB Virginia 14% 41% 32% 11% 2% - -
59 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
59 GU Lauranna 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
61 LIU Anya 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.