March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-10 Women's Saber

Friday, March 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
2 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
3 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
3 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 ZHANG Olivia 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 HU Heidi 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
7 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
8 ZHAO Lingran 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
9 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
10 SUNG Olivia 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
11 YAN Angela 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 1%
12 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
13 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
14 REN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
15 XU Elaine 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
16 FAN Tina 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
17 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
18 CAI Joanna 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
19 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
20 KIM Grace 100% 96% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
21 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
22 CHENG Anna 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
23 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
24 YE Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
25 CHANG Kylie 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
26 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
27 WANG Emily 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
27 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
29 WANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
30 YU Stella 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
31 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
32 SCHMIDT Yehna 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
33 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
34 KO Ariel 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
34 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
36 QIU Abigail 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
37 BEATEY Piper 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
37 YU Skylar 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
39 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
40 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
41 LAI Karen 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
42 KIM Saeren 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
43 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
44 WEI Levana 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
45 CONG Catherine 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
46 DEMRY Kylee 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
47 BRIMMER Bella 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
48 KANIA Brigitte 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
49 GUO YUKI 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
50 HWANG Sophie 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% -
51 WANG April 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
52 WANG Keira 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
53 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
54 CHACKO Anne 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
55 HAYHOE Tara 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
56 LEE Chaewon 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
56 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 99% 82% 41% 10% 1%
58 BABB Virginia 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
59 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
59 GU Lauranna 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
61 LIU Anya 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.