March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, March 3, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
2 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
3 ZHONG Evelyn 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 3%
3 OPERARIO Sofia Francesca 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
5 HABEK Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
6 RAMEY Alexa 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
7 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
8 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
9 XU Chenyu 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
10 CAYETANO Audrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
11 OLUYOLE Isabella 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
12 NGUYEN Renee 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
13 YU Chloe 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 2%
14 JIANG chenxi 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
15 GRIGORYAN Amaliya 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
16 SUN Milly 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1%
17 CHEN Julia Z. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
18 CARCELLER Bernardita 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 10%
19 PEI Claire 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
20 ANDRUS Allie 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 2%
21 HALE Reagan 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
21 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
23 FU Shannon 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
24 HARMON Nikkole 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
25 LEE Kate 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
26 YAN Ximei (Alicia) 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
26 HE Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
28 KANE Alexa 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
29 CHU Anabelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
30 LI Ariel 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% - -
31 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
32 LI Anna 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
33 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
34 ZHANG Jane 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
35 OLELE Ifechi 100% 77% 38% 10% 2% -
36 CHEN Stephanie 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
37 YU Xintong 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
38 MIAO Anthea 100% 94% 71% 39% 13% 3% -
39 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
40 SHABASHOVA Veronika 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
41 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
42 LI Allison 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
43 BUNCH Helena 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
44 CHEN Madeline 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
45 LOO Samantha 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
46 DU Chelsea 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 16% 3%
47 FRANGER Emma 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
48 MAI Blair 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
49 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
50 DU Chloe 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
51 MOSHKOV Sophia 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
52 BURKS Madison 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% -
53 VEGA-BRANDT Gabriella 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
54 YOUSSEF Margaret 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
55 YANG Angela 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
56 CHOI Arianna 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 7% 1%
57 REN Ivanka 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
58 MISHIMA Olivia 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
59 LEE Zoe 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
60 THOMPSON Rhyleigh 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
61 KAMALDEV Anya 100% 98% 82% 50% 17% 2%
62 KOU Cynthia 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
63 HE Elsa 100% 78% 24% 3% - - -
64 LIN Gianna 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
65 MARTIN-HARVEY Connelly 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.