March Friday Night Fencing

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, March 10, 2023 at 7:00 PM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GERACI Paul A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 22%
2 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
3 HANAHAN Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 98% 76% 34% 6%
5 RIPLEY Ian 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
6 SON Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
7 STENNIS Brendan 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
8 FANG Samuel 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
9 PAMERLEAU Ian 100% 100% 99% 84% 47% 12%
10 LASKA Patryk 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
11 GUILFORD Corey 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 6%
12 ARMBRUSTER David 100% 100% 95% 63% 20% 2%
13 KRAVITZ Sarah 100% 97% 71% 25% 3%
14 SOARE Maria Elena 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
15 VANCE Sam 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
16 ARMBRUSTER John 100% 70% 13% 1% - -
17 WANG Peter 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
18 DVORAK Ryan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
19 CRAPNELL Daniel 100% 98% 66% 22% 3% -
20 DICKSON Tim 100% 100% 95% 67% 25% 3%
21 MILLER Jackson 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
22 CREEMER Lawrence 100% 29% 3% - -
23 DAWES Isabel 100% 72% 21% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.