AAFA: Rizal Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 1:00 PM

All-American Fencing Academy - Fayetteville, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 33%
2 TSAI Caleb 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 7%
3 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 SHAH Suhani 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
5 KAPLAN Abe 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
6 RUSSELL James 100% 99% 72% 22% 2% -
7 CULLITON Colton 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
8 HOPEL Seth 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
9 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
10 LEAKE Arlo 100% 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
11 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
12 MORKOS Elinor 100% 32% 4% - - -
13 ODEA Ryan 100% 89% 56% 21% 5% - -
14 HONAN Amari 100% 99% 87% 47% 11% -
15 CANADY Isaac 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
16 MANN Justin 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
17 BARROW Jonathon 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
18 MATHAI Rachel 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
19 KUBE Lily 100% 69% 16% 1% - - -
20 RODRIGUEZ Giomar 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.