13th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center: Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
2 AHN Yuchan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
3 LIU Dylan Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17%
3 LENAHAN Conor J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
5 YANG Maximus 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
6 WOLF Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
7 HAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
8 DEMAREE Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
9 JOHNSTON Kellan 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2%
10 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
11 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 3% < 1%
12 NG Joshua Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
13 FAN Yuchen 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 3% -
14 CHUNG Joseph 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
15 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 3%
16 ILENRE Roni 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
17 HONG Ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
18 CORLEY Avery 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
19 ARUN Vikhyat 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
20 WEDDLE Carson 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
21 JUNG Elliot 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
22 MAXWELL Austin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
23 SINGH Siddhant 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
24 FULLERTON Joshua D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
25 KOTHA Maanas 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
26 TUCKER Evan 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
27 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
28 BOLLE Elijah 100% 99% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
29 PRICE Jordan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
30 DECKER Carlton 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
31 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
32 NONKOOKETKHONG Pakon 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
33 LEE Daehyeon 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% < 1%
34 JOSEPH Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
35 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
36 HONG Robin 100% 97% 73% 31% 5% < 1% -
37 CHOI David 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
38 LANGUASCO Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
39 BROWN Matt 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
40 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
40 CORDOVA Colin 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
40 SOPER Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
43 BELL Adam 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
44 ROBINSON Blake 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 3% -
45 JACKSON Viktoria 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
45 JIN Dongwoo 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
47 PELLI Madeleine 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% - -
48 KIM Sangone 100% 96% 69% 27% 5% - -
49 SCHERNIKAU Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
50 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
51 PAEK sean 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
52 KUCIA Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
53 BLAIR Hailey 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
54 CULLEN Reilly 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
55 ARZT Nicky 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
56 RASSEL John 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
57 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
58 FORSYTHE Hunter 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
59 BANKS Lauren M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
60 KARADENIZ Erek 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
61 HAMBRICK Addison 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
62 CHOI Adam 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
63 RAVITA Henry 100% 87% 39% 8% 1% - -
64 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
65 KEMLE Brian 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
66 PAK Joel 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
67 SEATON Jake 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
68 RAJ Joshua 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
69 ARNOLD Samuel 100% 99% 86% 41% 10% 1% -
70 HAYES Zackery 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
71 PETE Landon 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
72 ROBERTS Quinton 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
74 RYU Nathaniel 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
75 AGEE Brendon 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
76 LU Chang 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
77 JOO Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 6% -
78 KIM Minsung 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 19% 3%
79 ALLEY Ellis 100% 76% 27% 4% - - -
80 STEWART Sarah 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
80 BEVILACQUA Jacob 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
82 SONG Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 4% -
83 GHOLSTON Alex 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
83 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
85 COZMUTA Alexandra 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
86 BASKIN Julia 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
87 HWANG Eric 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
87 HAAS Lindsey 100% 96% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
89 BERNSTEIN Leo 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
90 ARMES Maggie 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
91 MOY Eva 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.