Mandel Sporting Events Colorado Cup #4

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 12, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DANIS Blake M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
2 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
3 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
3 KENT V David 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
5 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 98% 74% 30% 4%
6 ALTMAN Jeff H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
7 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
8 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
9 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
10 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 91% 58% 19% 2%
11 HARR Carver 100% 100% 100% 88% 51% 11%
12 MACMILLAN Collin 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
13 KENT IV David 100% 100% 97% 66% 23% 3%
14 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
15 COLE Matthew 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
16 LEE Jayden J. 100% 97% 75% 32% 5%
17 SHULL Marc 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
18 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 97% 76% 32% 6% -
19 SKUBIC Wyatt 100% 87% 40% 9% 1% -
20 ANDERSON Claire 100% 93% 65% 27% 5%
21 VAZQUEZ Rafael 100% 93% 63% 24% 3%
22 SQUIRES Colter 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
23 MCGOUGH Kevin 100% 92% 38% 6% - -
24 PEARSON Heila 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
25 FOX Alexander 100% 68% 11% 1% - -
26 GAMMILL Luke 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2%
27 BLANCHARD Timothy 100% 38% 5% - - -
27 GEISLER Grahm 100% 44% 3% - - -
29 PEARSON Arwa 100% 53% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.