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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	WU Alber Y.	-	-	-	-	1%	14%	86%
2	ZHANG Jacob	-	-	-	1%	7%	33%	59%
3	RAUTUREAU Arthur	-	-	1%	9%	38%	52%
3	CHAN Joseph	-	-	5%	21%	42%	32%
5	RAUTUREAU Hugo	-	-	-	-	5%	31%	64%
6	ZHOU Ryan	-	-	-	3%	18%	44%	35%
7	YUE Jackson	-	-	1%	7%	27%	44%	20%
8	TSAY Jordan R.	-	-	-	4%	20%	45%	30%
9	ZHANG Jayden	-	-	3%	16%	40%	39%	2%
10	ZHANG Max	3%	17%	35%	31%	12%	2%	-
11	WU Thomas	-	6%	26%	40%	23%	5%	-
12	HE Ian	1%	9%	30%	38%	20%	3%
13	PARK William	-	1%	10%	35%	42%	12%
14	RODRIGUEZ Tyler	-	-	1%	7%	26%	44%	22%
15	SISINNI Leonardo	-	-	3%	16%	39%	36%	6%
16	ZHANG Andrew	1%	8%	24%	35%	24%	7%	1%
17	DULAI Agam	1%	9%	28%	35%	21%	5%	-
18	WEI Winston	10%	31%	36%	19%	4%	-	-
19	ZHONG Maxwell	1%	8%	28%	38%	22%	4%
20	YANG Steve	-	7%	31%	42%	18%	2%
21	LI Jake	1%	13%	33%	34%	16%	3%
22	MAO Runxian	1%	7%	25%	36%	24%	7%	1%
23	BANUELOS Dario	5%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%	-
24	KIM Andrew	-	4%	16%	33%	32%	13%	1%
25	CHEN Ryker	-	1%	9%	30%	40%	19%	2%
26	ZHU Randy	18%	38%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
27	WANG Brian Z.	1%	11%	37%	37%	12%	1%
28	HARRIS Hayden	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-	-
29	GUO Joey	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	8%	1%
30	BHARDWAJ Ranbir	39%	42%	16%	3%	-	-	-
31	KIM Charlie	2%	18%	37%	31%	11%	1%
32	SLAIN Owen	8%	30%	36%	20%	5%	1%	-
33	QIU Yiran	16%	39%	33%	11%	1%	-	-
34	PARK Andrew	2%	16%	39%	32%	10%	1%	-
35	HE Gary	-	2%	12%	31%	36%	18%	2%
36	MURDOCK Koichi	2%	15%	33%	33%	15%	3%	-
37	HO Cameron	29%	49%	20%	3%	-	-
38	VAQUILAR Felix L.	4%	20%	36%	28%	10%	2%	-
39	CANTU Gabriel	2%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%	-
40	SHU Eric	8%	28%	36%	22%	6%	1%	-
41	SHEN Alaric	-	2%	13%	36%	37%	11%	1%
42	MA Justin	50%	39%	9%	1%	-	-	-
43	CHEN Aiden	1%	10%	29%	36%	19%	4%	-
44	FOLOMEEV Aleksandr	38%	47%	14%	1%	-	-
45	OZCAN Archer	12%	41%	34%	11%	2%	-	-
46	NGUYEN Nolan	61%	32%	6%	1%	-	-
47	SHENOY sean	29%	41%	23%	6%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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