GRAFA Third Coast Cup ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 3:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Yikai 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
2 WONG Antonio 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
3 DORE Davis 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
3 XIAO Bowen 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
5 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 90% 45%
6 TSAO Lukas 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
7 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
8 LOVIN Vlad 100% 100% 99% 77% 25%
9 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 15%
10 LIM Lance Jeremiah 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
11 ZHEREBTCOV Kirill 100% 100% 95% 64% 19%
12 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 85% 46% 13% 1%
13 FU Steven 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10% 1%
14 SLUSHER Gideon 100% 99% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
15 PALMA Matthew Dominic 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
16 CHOI Simon 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
17 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 100% 94% 60% 16%
18 STRINGER David 100% 99% 85% 43%
19 GNEUHS Sam 100% 70% 24% 3%
20 BIESIADA Jan 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
21 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 100% 98% 77% 30%
22 MCISAAC Finn 100% 100% 94% 45% 7%
23 HEYBOER Jason 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
24 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
25 CHUANG Oscar 100% 77% 31% 4%
26 ZHAO Bowen 100% 92% 58% 14%
27 REAUME Nate 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
28 IRVINE Brody 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
29 FLYNN Ian 100% 98% 82% 45% 11%
30 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 77% 35% 8% 1%
31 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
32 RYAN Nash 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
33 HERRERA Xavier 100% 26% 2% - -
34 MICK Gabriel 100% 19% - - -
35 KUE Temujin 100% 86% 29% 4% -
36 WEISS Quintin 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
37 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
38 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 86% 13% 1% -
39 SIMONS Henry 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.