Event Preview
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCFriday, January 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3251 | 3428 - 3125 |
| 5 - 8 | 3070 | 3180 - 2995 |
| 9 - 16 | 2897 | 3009 - 2731 |
| 17 - 32 | 2599 | 3010 - 2435 |
| 33 - 64 | 2244 | 2379 - 2025 |
| 65 - 119 | 1779 | 2123 - 1079 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.