Event Preview
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCFriday, January 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3243 | 3428 - 3097 |
| 5 - 8 | 3066 | 3151 - 2978 |
| 9 - 16 | 2900 | 3009 - 2736 |
| 17 - 32 | 2604 | 3011 - 2452 |
| 33 - 64 | 2265 | 2583 - 2100 |
| 65 - 121 | 1811 | 2123 - 1080 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.