Event Preview
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSaturday, January 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2314 | 2406 - 2257 |
| 5 - 8 | 2126 | 2181 - 2094 |
| 9 - 16 | 1989 | 2032 - 1864 |
| 17 - 32 | 1879 | 2426 - 1731 |
| 33 - 64 | 1538 | 1936 - 1052 |
| 65 - 70 | 1238 | 1662 - 721 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.