Event Preview
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2981 | 3097 - 2750 |
| 5 - 8 | 2623 | 2687 - 2546 |
| 9 - 16 | 2395 | 2500 - 2323 |
| 17 - 32 | 2272 | 2352 - 2186 |
| 33 - 64 | 2016 | 2181 - 1807 |
| 65 - 112 | 1582 | 2426 - 721 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.