Event Results
MFA Y10, Y14, and Senior foil - unrated fencersSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PETERSON Lucas | V V V V V V | V V V | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| 2 | LIU Aaron | V V V V V D | V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | KALAMAS Nikolas | D V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | TOYOFUKU Ethan | V V V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 6 | +3.3 |
| 5 | BECKER Ethan | D V V V V V | V D | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| 6 | SCHILLER Finnegan | D V V D D V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 7 | ZANDER Maxx | D D V D D V | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 8 | WALD Ezekiel | V D D V D D | V D | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| 9 | LEHMAN Jackie V. | V V D D V D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 10 | KAISER Lucas | V D D D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 11 | TALAROC Janeen | D D D D V D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 12 | TONG Andrew | D D D V D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 13 | DIGGS Corina | V D D D D D | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 14 | BROWN-LEWIN Noah | D D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |