San Diego Senior Cup #5 w/ D&Under Epee

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Carmel Valley - San Diego, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
2 SODERBERG Alex Z. 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 ZHOU Alec Q. 100% 98% 81% 42% 8%
3 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
5 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
6 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 94% 48% 10% 1%
7 JOYCE David 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
8 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 93% 57% 11%
9 POLAKOSKI David R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
10 ALEXANDER Chuck 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
11 ZAROTSKY Ronald 100% 77% 34% 7% 1%
12 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 83% 42% 10% 1%
13 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 95% 71% 30% 4%
14 WESTON Tom 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
15 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 99% 78% 32% 4%
16 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 100% 88% 53% 15% 1%
17 CHAO Warren 100% 96% 68% 26% 4% -
18 DILLON Anik 100% 34% 4% - - -
19 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 80% 39% 9% 1%
20 SETTE Alessandro 100% 75% 31% 6% -
21 HU Yingli 100% 26% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.