TFC March Fence-A-Thon

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 KHER Roan 100% 99% 61% 17% 2%
2 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
3 DEW Eric 100% 100% 92% 55% 8%
3 CRACRAFT John R. 100% 100% 91% 56% 13%
5 LI Shuang 100% 100% 88% 50% 11%
6 WOLINSKY Alex 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
7 GORDON William L. 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
8 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 75% 25% 2%
9 LIU William 100% 99% 87% 42% 7%
10 COONAN Seamus 100% 42% 6% - -
11 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
12 HE Bourne 100% 67% 23% 3% -
13 ZHANG Graham 100% 84% 35% 4% -
14 KHER Amol 100% 84% 36% 7% -
14 LI Sheng 100% 8% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.