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Sebastian Ramirez Amaya Memorial

Div II Mixed Épée

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Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	VENET TÃ©va	100%	100%	99%	93%	64%	20%
2	GREGER Jack	100%	100%	96%	77%	34%	4%
3	GOING Nicholas (Nick) S.	100%	100%	100%	99%	93%	67%	25%
3	FESTIN Michael G.	100%	97%	79%	41%	11%	1%	-
5	HILLARD Jake	100%	100%	100%	98%	87%	49%
6	SYPES Michael	100%	100%	96%	76%	36%	6%
7	MUNOZ Andrea	100%	100%	97%	81%	43%	10%
8	FISHER David	100%	97%	77%	34%	3%	-
9	HENSLEY Roran	100%	100%	99%	93%	71%	32%	6%
10	WILLIAMS Timothy	100%	100%	98%	87%	57%	21%	3%
11	SAUCEDO Grecia	100%	92%	60%	22%	3%	-
12	SAUCEDO Fernando	100%	99%	91%	66%	30%	6%	-
13	PERKINS-OLLILA Emily	100%	50%	11%	1%	-	-
14	COLLINS Vernon	100%	100%	99%	90%	44%	6%
15	PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil	100%	72%	28%	6%	1%	-	-
16	CRUZ Jr Alberto	100%	94%	72%	39%	13%	2%	-
17	WALLIS Wyatt	100%	93%	62%	22%	3%	-
18	LAURSEN Logan	100%	87%	48%	15%	2%	-
18	HERRON Jonathan	100%	73%	30%	6%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.