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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Renee - - - - 1% 19% 80%
2 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
3 ZELDIN Nadia - 1% 10% 34% 43% 12%
3 SHMUKLER Maria - - 3% 16% 39% 37% 5%
5 LI Eleanor - - 2% 20% 52% 26%
6 KUMAMOTO Shino - - 1% 9% 44% 46%
7 SHENG Katherine - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
8 LI Katerina 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
9 YU Jane - 1% 5% 24% 45% 26%
9 FIELD Elizabeth - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
11 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
12 HARRIS Julia - - 2% 18% 52% 28%
13 WANG Sunny - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
14 ZAMLYNNY Maya 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
15 ORRINGER Lottie 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
16 KAPRAN Anastasia - 1% 5% 24% 45% 26%
17 PEVZNER Nicole - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
18 LI Xiang (Shining) 10% 34% 38% 16% 2% - -
19 CAI Ilana 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 4%
20 GAO Anne - 1% 7% 30% 50% 13%
21 SNYDERS Evelyn 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
22 CAVANAGH Emma 5% 26% 44% 22% 3% -
23 SHERLOCK Gabriella 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
24 MACKINTOSH Quinn 4% 24% 44% 24% 5% -
25 MCFARLANE Asha 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
26 TSE Isabel 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
27 WANG Amabel - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
28 LIU Caydence 1% 9% 34% 42% 12% 1%
29 LIU Jingyi (Eva) 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
30 LAZAR Carolina 4% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
31 LI Savannah 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% 1%
32 CHIANG Mila 25% 46% 24% 5% - -
33 JIN Amie 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
34 HUSSIAN Annabelle 3% 21% 40% 29% 7% -
35 ARRAIANO Olivia R. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
36 LIN Yunong 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
37 HUANG Sophie 2% 19% 39% 30% 8% 1%
38 CHEN Sophie - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10% -
39 LEE Allison 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% - -
40 LI Yixin Catherine 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
41 KIM Claire 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
42 SHANG Arianna 29% 46% 21% 3% - -
43 JANSSEN Juliane 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
44 RICHARDS Axelle 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
45 BRODY Coco 35% 43% 19% 3% - -
46 BAULIN Zoya 25% 46% 24% 4% - -
47 WAN Celine 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
48 SINGH ARSH 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
49 OTTERMAN Jenna 1% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
50 CLENDENNEN Briley 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.