Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
2 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
3 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 12%
3 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41% 5%
5 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 26%
6 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 46%
7 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
8 LI Katerina 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
9 YU Jane 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
9 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
11 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
12 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 28%
13 WANG Sunny 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
14 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
15 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
16 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
17 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
18 LI Xiang (Shining) 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% - -
19 CAI Ilana 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
20 GAO Anne 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 13%
21 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
22 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 95% 69% 25% 3% -
23 SHERLOCK Gabriella 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
24 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 96% 72% 29% 5% -
25 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
26 TSE Isabel 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
27 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
28 LIU Caydence 100% 99% 90% 56% 13% 1%
29 LIU Jingyi (Eva) 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
30 LAZAR Carolina 100% 96% 70% 29% 5% -
31 LI Savannah 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
32 CHIANG Mila 100% 75% 29% 6% - -
33 JIN Amie 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
34 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% -
35 ARRAIANO Olivia R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
36 LIN Yunong 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
37 HUANG Sophie 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1%
38 CHEN Sophie 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10% -
39 LEE Allison 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% - -
40 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 81% 39% 8% 1% -
41 KIM Claire 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
42 SHANG Arianna 100% 71% 25% 3% - -
43 JANSSEN Juliane 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
44 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
45 BRODY Coco 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
46 BAULIN Zoya 100% 75% 28% 4% - -
47 WAN Celine 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
48 SINGH ARSH 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
49 OTTERMAN Jenna 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
50 CLENDENNEN Briley 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.