American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 3%
2 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
3 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
3 NI Emma 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
5 GAO Emily L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
6 SZTAN Maria 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
7 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
8 KIM Diane E. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
9 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
10 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
11 HAN Jaewon(Leah) 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
12 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
13 YOON Julia J. 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
14 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5%
15 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 97% 79% 43% 10%
16 SMUK Daria A. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
17 KULKARNI Diya 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
18 ZHANG Maya 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3%
19 SHOATES Jacqueline A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
20 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
20 WANG Yumin 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
22 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
23 LONG Cindy 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 18%
24 SAFKO Liubov V. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
25 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 99% 85% 44% 8% -
26 KANG Dahyun 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
27 HUH Anna 100% 94% 68% 30% 5%
28 ZHAO Yingying 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
29 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
30 MINASSIAN Arianna M. 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
31 BENATER Lauren 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 1%
32 RABEL Brenna V. 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
33 YAO Jillian 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
34 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 100% 97% 70% 29% 5% -
35 YU Claire 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
36 GANSER Yuliya 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
37 QUINLAN Nicole P. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
38 MIDGLEY Janice M. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
39 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
39 MA Laura 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% -
41 XU Amy 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
42 MCGEE Sophia 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 2%
43 SLACKMAN Valerie 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
44 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
45 SAAL Anna 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
46 TOLBA Salma 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
47 NICOU Nicole 100% 86% 50% 16% 2%
48 LEE Olive 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
49 ROWLAND May 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
50 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
51 SHI Angela L. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
52 HERNANDEZ Christy 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
53 NIEMEYER Jennifer A. 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4%
54 PARTE Isabella B. 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% -
55 MAO Amy 100% 84% 42% 9% 1% -
56 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 100% 87% 43% 10% 1% -
57 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
58 MOK Chloe R. 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
59 LONGSTREET Olivia 100% 59% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.