IFC 2023 Spring Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 9:45 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RIPLEY Ian 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
2 BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 PAMERLEAU Ian 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
3 TARR Robert 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
5 KRAJ Pawel 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 10%
6 SON Eric 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
7 GUILFORD Corey 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
8 SOARE Maria Elena 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
9 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
10 KRAVITZ Sarah 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
11 STENNIS Brendan 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2%
12 BRENNEMAN Adam 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
13 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
14 LAUER Michael 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
15 SORG Jacqueline C. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
16 MILLER Brent 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
17 WANG Peter 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3%
18 LAI Yat Hay Casper 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1%
19 FANG Samuel 100% 100% 90% 45% 11% 1%
20 DVORAK Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
21 YANG Seung Joo 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
22 MILLER Hayden 100% 97% 71% 29% 5% -
23 BESEL Natalie 100% 41% 6% - - -
24 SWEETS Aidan 100% 19% 1% - - -
25 DAWES Isabel 100% 92% 54% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.